The US Dollar bounces back after depreciating for 4-5 trading sessions after the Dollar Index (DXU11) hit critical support of 73.40 ranges. Key equity index of the Dow Jones Industrials (DJIA) is trading near important support of 12300; consistent close below 12300 would result in the Dow trending sideways.
Historic correlation between DJIA Vs DX suggests the major trend is still bearish in the Dollar Index though short covering can be expected; only weekly close above 76.70 in case of DXU11 would result in long term trend reversal in the US Dollar where as weekly close below 73.40 would result in continuation of the bear trend, Dow Jones Industrials (DJIA) is expected to find resistance in the zone of 12700-12800 which is historical congestion zone; consistently trading above 12400 reinitiate long-term rally in DJIA, whereas weekly close below 12300 would push DJIA into range bound trading pattern.
NYMEX September Crude (CLU11) is expected to remain range bound between $95.00 and $101.50, either side breakout would establish trend.
FX Pair Support 2 Support 1 Resistance 1 Resistance 2
EURUSD 1.4260 1.4300 1.4435 1.4545
USDJPY 76.90 77.30 78.20 78.80
GBPUSD 1.6180 1.6240 1.6360 1.6410
USDCHF 0.7920 0.7980 0.8200 0.8275
EURJPY 109.50 111.20 112.55 113.20
AUDUSD 1.0930 1.1010 1.1110 –
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