AUD/USD is about to continue the long term uptrend and develop wave 5 of weekly degree. As far as wave count on smaller timeframes is concerned, this pair is developing wave C of the med term uptrend – colored red in the chart. Its targets are Fibonacci expansions off 0.9651-0.9819-0.9678, as well as expansions off smaller waves 0.9678-0.9914-0.9833.
Resistances:
– 1.0002 = local peak
– 1.0069 = objective point (OP)
– 1.0118 = super expanded objective point (SXOP)
In case the price reverses for a corrective wave the nearest supports will be Fibonacci retracements of the waves up starting from 0.9833 and from 0.9678 – waves not developed yet.
Overbought/Oversold
The Detrended Oscillator is in the highly overbought area. Assuming that the prevailing trend is up, it’s preferable to wait for a retracement to open a long position on weakness – when the price hits a Fibonacci support (not available right now) or gets closer to the zero level – 50-60 pips to go.
More analysis at instaforex.com