27-Aug-2012: FX perspective by GFM Research

The US Dollar after correcting from 84.20 ranges since couple of weeks is currently trading flat after finding support at the interim support of 81.20 ranges. Further weakening of the Greenback is expected only on daily close below 81.00 ranges. The benchmark equity index of Dow Jones Industrials (.DJIA) is currently trading at 13160 ranges with 13200-13300 still acting as critical resistance zone.

Historic correlation between DX Vs DJIA suggests the short-term and medium-term trend being sideways where as the long-term trend is still dollar bearish till the Dollar Index is not closing above 84.50 on monthly basis.

NYMEX Crude is trading firm at $97.10 ranges. Historic resistance is seen in the ranges of $98.20 ranges, further rally to $102 ranges can be expected on daily close above $98.40


FX Pair          Trend         Resistance 2    Resistance 1    Support 1    Support 2

EURUSD        Sideways           1.2625              1.2560            1.2485          1.2450
USDJPY           Down               79.20                78.90             78.30            77.80
GBPUSD     Sideways-Down      1.5920              1.5870           1.5770          1.5690
USDCHF        Sideways-Up        0.9710              0.9650           0.9550          0.9420
EURJPY      Sideways-Down        99.20               98.80              97.30           96.80
AUDUSD     Sideways-Down      1.0450              1.0410           1.0320          1.0285


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