USDCAD has recently dipped below key support levels, raising concerns about a potential trend reversal. This analysis explores the technical situation and potential future scenarios for the currency pair.
Breakdown from Support Levels:
- 1.3541 Support Breached: USDCAD decisively broke below the 1.3541 support level, which had been providing support earlier.
- 4-Hour Trend Line Tested: The pair is currently facing the support of the rising trend line on the 4-hour chart.
Potential Downside Scenarios:
- Trend Line Support Breach: A breakthrough below the trend line support could signal a bearish continuation and trigger further downside movement. The next potential target in this scenario would be the 1.3440 support level.
- 1.3360 Area: A further decline below 1.3440 could see the pair aiming for the 1.3360 area. This would be a significant decline and could indicate a strong downtrend.
Upside Potential:
- 1.3550 Initial Resistance: While the immediate outlook is bearish, it’s important to acknowledge potential upside potential. The initial resistance level to watch is at 1.3550. A breakout above this level could indicate a short-term correction and potentially lead to a retest of the 1.3605 previous high resistance.
Overall Sentiment:
The technical outlook for USDCAD has turned bearish following the breakdown below the 1.3541 support level. The bulls need to defend the trend line support to prevent further downside. A break below this level could open the door for a deeper decline towards 1.3440 and potentially even 1.3360. Conversely, a rise above 1.3550 could signal a temporary pause in the downtrend. Monitoring the price action around these key levels will be crucial in determining the pair’s next move.